KOSHSi

Prediction accuracy

People ask the right question: “How accurate is it?” The honest answer is: accuracy depends on what you measure, what timeframe you use, and how you define a “correct” prediction.

Koshsi is still early. We’re building a proper tracking methodology and an accuracy archive, but we’re not going to invent a percentage just to sound impressive.

“Confidence comes from measurement — not marketing.”

What we can say today

We use a structured MatchUp framework (not random prompts)
Predictions are explainable — you can see the reasoning
We focus on clarity and repeatability, not hype
We do not claim guaranteed outcomes

What we’re building next

To talk about accuracy properly, we need consistent scoring rules and a public history. That’s what we’re implementing.

Accuracy tracking roadmap

  • Prediction archive: a log of predictions over time, per league and competition.
  • Clear scoring rules: separate tracking for 1X2, double-chance, and “lean” outcomes.
  • Confidence bands: measuring whether high-confidence picks outperform low-confidence picks.
  • Performance by context: favourites vs underdogs, home vs away, early season vs late season.

We will publish results only once there’s enough sample size to be meaningful.

How to think about “accuracy” (realistically)

Football is noisy. Upsets happen. Injuries happen. Red cards change everything. Any tool claiming “90%+ accuracy” across football is usually redefining the question until it sounds good.

A more realistic goal is this: make better decisions more often by using structured analysis and avoiding emotional picks.

What Koshsi is best at

  • Turning match context into a consistent analytical summary
  • Forcing a disciplined review of key factors (instead of guesswork)
  • Highlighting uncertainty, risks, and conditions that could flip the outcome
  • Helping you avoid “narrative traps” and emotional picks

What you should never do

  • Don’t treat any single prediction as a guarantee.
  • Don’t chase losses based on one result.
  • Don’t ignore context — use the reasoning, not just the conclusion.
  • Don’t risk money you can’t afford to lose.

Koshsi provides informational analysis and predictions. You remain responsible for decisions you make.

Want to help us measure it?

If you’re a frequent user, you can help shape how we measure accuracy. Tell us what “correct” means for your use-case (1X2, double chance, scoreline lean, etc.).

Email us at sales@koshsi.com with “Accuracy tracking” in the subject.

Ready to try it? Use the Football Predictor.